President Trump is apparently sending some 5,000 troops to the Mexican border in order to confront the caravan of people arriving from the south. One would need considerable optimism to think that it is going to go well.
Trump talks in terms of an “invasion”. But it is not like an invasion in the ordinary sense. These caravan people are not soldiers, but economic migrants. It’s really not on to shoot them dead, even for Trump, and so for the troops, their rifles are presumably going to be useless.
Some of the caravan people, perhaps many of them, might well claim asylum. Whilst they might well be asylum seekers, it is doubtful that any but a tiny proportion will be found to be entitled to asylum, and so after the US government spends a lot of time and money on them, they will presumably be sent back across the border. And then what happens?
It is not difficult to imagine that vast Continue reading
The animals have been playing a new game: “What Shall We Do with a Champagne Cork?”
I throw the cork. If Perdita gets it, she dances around the lawn, throwing the cork up in the air in delight like a killer whale does with a seal. Only rather less dramatic. Obviously. After a while, she gives it back, so that we can do it again.
If Merlin gets it (he is remarkably nimble on his feet), he lies on it, and pretends to have nothing to do with the game at all. “Cork? What cork? I haven’t seen it”.
It is a much better game than “Eat the Spoon”. For that, they operate as a tag team. Merlin jumps up onto the kitchen benchtop, finds a wooden spoon and pushes it off down onto the floor. Perdita then eats it.
It has been a very bad few weeks for the global warming industry.
Last month – September – was the coldest, globally, for a decade. Melbourne had its coldest September morning in 15 years. And it was the coldest September day ever recorded in Germany and Holland. Likewise record cold in Canada. And Delaware. And East Anglia. All over the place, in fact.
Obviously, an exceptionally cold patch is no more statistically significant than an exceptionally warm patch. Much more worrying for the warmists is the audit of the HadCRUT4 data published a few days ago, carried out by Dr John McLean and published by Robert Boyle Publishing.
Those who care about this issue know exactly what the HadCRUT4 data is, but lest you do not, gentle reader, I should explain that it is the dataset that has been used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to make its various claims about global warming that has occurred, and its various predictions about further global warming. The accuracy of this data is of course fundamental if any reliance is to be put on the IPCC predictions – “garbage in, garbage out” as they say.
And so I spent the $US 8 necessary to buy An Audit of the Creation and Content of theHadCRUT4 Temperature Dataset. It is 135 pages long. Some of the findings merely suggest that the data collection has been sloppy. Others suggest that the data, especially in the earlier years, is extraordinarily sparse such that there is a very wide error margin. Some of the data is plainly nonsense, such as data purportedly from ships reporting positions many miles from the sea. There has been much data which has been changed in an unreliable way (homogenised, as they call it) without any adequate record being kept of such changes. There are 75 such types of error painstakingly identified. And there are a couple of things about it which are particularly Continue reading